Nem. Következtetés. A Citi adja napközben a valutaforgalom 80%-át. És most visszarántották megint. Ha a Citi adná már a pincében lenne.
Nem. Következtetés. A Citi adja napközben a valutaforgalom 80%-át. És most visszarántották megint. Ha a Citi adná már a pincében lenne.
Majd akkor lesz trendforduló, ha a Citi is adja folyamatosan. Az utóbbi napokban ők ráncigálják vissza. A nyavalyások.:)
Persze. Csak más dolgom volt, behajítottam egy követő stoppot mindkettőre... (4050-ről volt nekem...)
szerintem eurusd-ben trendforduló van, 3980-ról van shortom, igyekszem tartani (kb. 1,3770ig nem lehet annyira rázós az út)
ugy nez ki valami fele korr keszulodik
mondjuk en csak 1,3775 alatt hiszem el
csak a pénteki eurusd short és usdcad long zárás bosszant egy kicsit...
Nem gondoltam, hogy ilyen rövid idő alatt záródik 50-en...
Szóval tuti, hogy esik tovább, igy szokott lenni. Végül is 150 pip is 150 pip.
Ahogy látom,igen! És nem töltötte be a rést az usdcad.Hónap végére 1,048-at kinézek belőle. A dollár szikrája életre kelt és még a végén lángra kap. Azért a jennel még mindig nem bír. Valószínűleg még szeretnék látni 80 alatt,
Eurusd-ben hetesen lett egy szép fordító gyertya. Ebből lehet még valami.
Jól látom, hogy Cad párok réssel nyitottak? Ki erre, ki arra?
Morning Adviser Europe 10/15/2010 6:02:00 AM
Bernanke Awaited
By Gareth Berry
The dollar steadied during the Asia session, having earlier clawed back some of the losses sustained after yesterday's surprise tightening by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. EURUSD traded 1.4009-1.4088, and USDJPY 81.28-81.68. But the dollar is still weaker over the past several days as Fed easing expectations have intensified. Later today, the market is finally expected to hear Fed Chairman Bernanke's thoughts on the subject of further easing. Investors are uneasy over whether Bernanke will explicitly support the idea and, if he is noncommittal, the dollar could find some further support. Boston Fed President Rosengren remains in favour of more easing, in the belief that it may help reduce unemployment. He said there is a low probability the US will have deflation and that he would not want to see even disinflation at this point. Jobless claims were higher than expected and the August trade deficit was wider. Consumer data is due later and the deadline for the semi-annual report from the Treasury Department on foreign exchange also falls due today.
Research Spotlight "SNB To Play It safe" UBS Economics The Swiss National Bank's juggling act has only become more difficult recently. Caught between solid Swiss economic fundamentals and persistently loose monetary policies globally, the SNB is likely to want to play it safe. With inflation not expected to pick up in the near future, we push back our call for an SNB rate hike to the end of Q1 2011 from December 2010. Further 25bp hikes to the 3m CHF Libor target should follow each quarter. For further details, please see the "SNB To Play It Safe" note on www.ubs.com/fx for details.
EUR Targets: EURUSD 1m 1.40, 3m 1.25 ECB Executive Board Member Stark said that inappropriate currency movements are damaging to economic and financial stability, and it would be fatal if currency wars evolved into a race to devalue. He said the ECB would continue to buy government bonds for as long as necessary - his comments in sharp contrast to those of Governing Council Member Weber who recently called for the sovereign bond purchase program to be immediately disbanded. He warned again that individual banks cannot rely on continued ECB support measures for their refinancing needs. ECB Governing Council Member Bini-Smaghi said emerging market economies must gradually accept stronger currencies and current moves in the FX market are due to the weak dollar rather than a strong euro or yen. China's FX regulator said the euro's rise added approximately $80bn to China's FX reserves between Q2 and Q3, purely due to valuation. This reveals that a sizeable portion of China's FX reserves are already euro-denominated.
JPY Targets: USDJPY 80, 3m 95; NZDUSD 1m 0.76, 3m 0.73 Japanese lawmakers and policy makers made plenty headlines during the Asia session. In response to USDJPY hitting a new 15-year low yesterday, Finance Minister Noda said this was due to a broad-based dollar decline and not just against the yen. He warned that he is still watching FX markets with great interest and will take decisive steps if needed to curb excessive FX moves. He added that he would like to discuss ways to maintain international currency order at the upcoming G20 meeting, due to be held on Oct. 22-23. However, he warned that he would decide whether or not to intervene "regardless of the G7 or G20". Prime Minister Kan says he is concerned about the yen's current strength. Economy Minister Kaeida added that the yen's current rise is no good for the economy, and said he expects timely steps will be taken to counter the yen's rise. The BoJ provided two speakers. Governor Shirakawa said that Japan's return to sustainable growth may be delayed, and that the BoJ will take appropriate action. Deputy Governor Yamaguchi said further easing would be possible by extending the BoJ's new asset purchase scheme, repeating remarks made earlier by Shirakawa. Industrial production growth moderated somewhat in August, but still managed to rise by +15.1% y/y (prev. 15.4%)
SEK Targets: EURSEK 1m 9.35, 3m 9.30 Riksbank Deputy Governor Wickman-Parak said she is neither a dove nor a hawk on the monetary policy front. Nevertheless she observed that data since the last policy meeting point towards a rapid recovery in Sweden, and that the repo rate may need to be raised even faster than originally expected. EURSEK dropped briefly on the comments but we continue to think EURNOK has more downside potential than EURSEK at this stage.
FX Technicals
USDCHF support at 0.9225 EURUSD BULLISH Recovery through 1.4045 exposes 1.4194 and 1.4371 Fibonacci resistance. Support at 1.3908. USDJPY BEARISH The pair targets 79.75 with scope for 77.91 next. Resistance holds at 83.03 ahead of 83.99 GBPUSD BULLISH Rise through 1.6018 favors extension of the uptrend towards 1.6201 ahead of 1.6379. Support at 1.5888 ahead of 1.5670 USDCHF BEARISH Outlook is bearish; break below 0.9500 exposes 0.9225. Resistance at 0.9729 ahead of 0.9918 breakout low. AUDUSD BULLISH Momentum is positive; expect recovery towards 1.000 ahead of 1.0166. Support at 0.9834 ahead of 0.9709 reaction low. USDCAD BEARISH Targets 0.9931 with scope for 0.9820 next. Resistance at 1.0106 EURCHF BULLISH Upside potential held at 1.3494 ahead of 1.3665. Initial support lies at 1.3265 ahead of 1.3072 EURGBP BULLISH Currently holds resistance at 0.8840 ahead of 0.8894 and 0.9039. Support holds at 0.8689 ahead of 0.8563 EURJPY BULLISH While support at 112.86 holds, expect recovery towards 115.68 ahead of 116.68 Fibonacci resistance *NOTE: The trend for each currency pair as defined in the table is determined by our proprietary model and is independent of our discretionary interpretation of price action
majd holnap megmondja a tutit ez a szellem eregeto shalom
1.6? v eleg lesz csak 1.5 ig onteni.....
Nem én szívatlak. Engem is szívat a piac, mert nem akarom elhinni, hogy csak a fel-t ismerik. Óráson kitörés gyanús.
Ne szivas. Akkor ha 8-kor berakod, már 9 után ne trédeljem?
Szivatásnak ott a piac. Mindegy, hogy mit ütök és miben a másik irányba indul el...
Ezek shortok max fél órás pozik. De lehet, sokat mondtam.
Bekötöttem a gbpusd-t 1,60-on shortra.
Hívjatok fel ha megvan a másik fele...
"GBP
Targets: GBPUSD 1m 1.59, 3m 1.47 At 5.3k (cons. 5.0k, prev. 2.3k)"
