És tényleg...ez már kész röhely....
Ma még lesz oiltartalékadat is....tele minden raktár, akkor annak fognak örülni ha üres akkor meg annak! Én vagyok a F@sz (nagy F-el), hogy gondolkozom! Az amcsiknak nem probléma ez az eszement emelkedés.
És tényleg...ez már kész röhely....
Ma még lesz oiltartalékadat is....tele minden raktár, akkor annak fognak örülni ha üres akkor meg annak! Én vagyok a F@sz (nagy F-el), hogy gondolkozom! Az amcsiknak nem probléma ez az eszement emelkedés.
Jaja! :) A kettő pozi majdnem 0-ás! Hurrá!! :)
vettem usdchf-et 9502-n és a szokásos eurusd short 1.4083 és 94-ről...
Morning Adviser Americas 10/14/2010 11:23:00 AM
Aussie Nears Parity
By Gareth Berry
The US dollar weakened sharply across the board in the wake of a surprise tightening of policy by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. The euro and the yen made strong gains, and the Australian dollar approached parity with its US namesake. EURUSD traded 1.3949-1.4122, USDJPY 80.89-82.01 and AUDUSD 0.9892-0.9994. Gold made a new all-time high of $1387.35. European stocks were mixed, suggesting the FX move was less about improved risk appetite, and more about a rising tide of dollar-aversion.
Richmond Fed President Lacker said inflation is now on target as far as he was concerned. He added that he would probably not support more easing if economic conditions remain as they are. Lacker does not currently have an FOMC vote, and is not due to receive one until 2012.There were no top-tier US economic data releases yesterday. However, import prices fell -0.3% (cons: -0.2%) in September after a +0.6% gain in August. Jobless claims due later will likely be the key focus today, ahead of Fed Chairman Bernanke's speech on Friday entitled "Monetary Policy Objectives in a Low Inflation Environment".
Research Spotlight "Japan Equipped To Curb Yen" UBS Economics
Growth momentum is slowing in Japan and the strong yen is damaging corporate sentiment. Policy makers have responded with FX intervention and quantitative easing. While Japan has been down this path before, the MoF and BoJ seem to now be in accord, declaring a firm intention to tame yen strength that leaves the door wide open to further FX intervention and QE. While this alone may not trigger a sustained yen retreat, the authorities have the means to contain the currency. Please see the "Japan Equipped to Curb Yen?" note on www.ubs.com/fx for details.
EUR Targets: EURUSD 1m 1.40, 3m 1.25
ECB Governing Council Member Bini-Smaghi said that "currency war" is not an appropriate term to describe what is currently taking place. He said the Eurozone economy is recovering in line with ECB forecasts, but called on Ireland to present a credible multi-year budget program that would bring a measure of confidence to markets. ECB Governing Council Member Noyer sounded more concerned on the FX front and said that cooperation and dialogue were needed to have "orderly exchange-rate developments".
ECB Governing Council Members Mersch and Weber spoke. Mersch said that economic data from 2010H2 so far suggest no reason for increased pessimism. He also called for a stiffening of sanctions that could be imposed by Stability and Growth Pact. Weber took a similar line saying that confidence must be restored in public finances and that temporary aid should only be given to a Eurozone state where the risk of contagion exits.
China's FX regulator said that the euro's rise added approximately $80bn to China's FX reserves between Q2 and Q3, purely due to valuation changes. This reveals that a sizeable portion of China's FX reserves are already euro-denominated.
JPY Targets: USDJPY 80, 3m 95; NZDUSD 1m 0.76, 3m 0.73
Rhetoric flowed from Japanese officials during the Asia and European sessions as USDJPY weakened. Prime Minister Kan said that sharp changes in FX are not desirable, and that Japan is willing to take decisive steps on FX if necessary. Finance Minister Noda first said that Japan is closely watching FX moves, but then later declined to comment as USDJPY fell further. Noda added he would like to deepen the debate on currency cooperation at future G7 and G20 meetings. Economics Minister Kaieda said that the stronger yen is driving down sentiment significantly.
CHF, SEK Targets: EURCHF 1m 1.30, 3m 1.28
Riksbank Deputy Governor Wickman-Parak said she is neither a dove nor a hawk on the monetary policy front. Nevertheless she observed that data since the last policy meeting point towards a rapid recovery in Sweden, and that the repo rate may need to be raised even faster than originally expected.
Hungary Central Bank Governor Simor said that not even a 30% rise in the CHF would cause a problem for the financial system. He also added that only those borrowers should be helped who cannot pay back their loans at all.
NZD Targets: NZDUSD 1m 0.76, 3m 0.73
House prices fell in the three-months to September by -0.3% (prev. +0.3%). Retail sales excluding autos came in much weaker than expected and fell by -0.6% m/m (cons. +0.2%, prev. -0.1%). Our NZ economist notes that the data reinforces the idea that Q3 growth may disappoint. It also strongly suggests the RBNZ will keep the policy rate unchanged for the rest of the year, and that the odds of the rate remaining unchanged beyond March are also rising.
FX Technicals
EURUSD BULLISH Recovery through 1.4045 exposes 1.4194 and 1.4371 Fibonacci resistance. Support at 1.3775 USDJPY BEARISH The pair targets 79.75 with scope for 77.91 next. Resistance holds at 83.03 ahead of 83.99 GBPUSD BULLISH Rise through 1.6018 favors extension of the uptrend towards 1.6276 ahead of 1.6379. Support at 1.5888 ahead of 1.5670 USDCHF BEARISH Outlook is bearish; break below 0.9500 exposes 0.9225. Resistance at 0.9729 ahead of 0.9918 breakout low. AUDUSD BULLISH Pressure on 1.000 psychological resistance; a break here would expose 1.0166. Support at 0.9834 ahead of 0.9709 reaction low. USDCAD BEARISH Targets 0.9931 with scope for 0.9820 next. Resistance at 1.0106 EURCHF BULLISH Upside potential held at 1.3494 ahead of 1.3665. Initial support lies at 1.3265 ahead of 1.3072 EURGBP BULLISH Break of 0.8808 exposes 0.8894 and 0.9039. Support holds at 0.8689 ahead of 0.8563 EURJPY BULLISH Clearance of 113.26 exposed 110.66 support, but overall outlook is bullish with resistance at 115.68 ahead of 116.68 Fibonacci resistance.
Normális piacon shortot nyitnék, de ezek erre a xar adatra száguldani fognak.
Economic data (US, AUG): Trade Balance out at -46.3B vs. -$44.0B expected vs. -$42.8B prior read (revised to -42.6B)
12:30
Economic data (US, SEP): Producer Price Index (MoM) out at 0.4% vs. 0.1% expected vs. 0.4% prior read
12:30
Economic data (US, SEP): PPI Ex Food & Energy (MoM) out at 0.1% vs. 0.1% expected vs. 0.1% prior read
12:31
Economic data (US, OCT 9): Initial Jobless Claims out at 462K vs. 445K expected vs. 445K prior read (revised to 449K)
Ugyan ez a dollár öntésénél. Kis forgalommal, de öntik, és nincs senki aki útját akarná állni. Ugyan az a titokzatos valaki önti, aki a részvénypiacokat veszi.
http://www.napi.hu/default.asp?cCenter=article.asp&nID=461632
...más sem találja a logikát....:DD
81-es usdjpy vételem teljesült....
holnap? az jo!
akkor az egy min. 1.42-es szintet jelent,
jen-nel meg egy kb.80-ast , szep hetvegejuk lesz a japoknak....
eur long felveve
usdjen shortok tartva, penteki zarasig
Logikát azt ne keress. Sajnos nincs. Berni kiszabadította a szellemet a palackból, csak ő tudja visszatuszkolni. Holnap fog vartyogni.
nem ezért gyengült eddig csak ez a hír annyit takar h tovább fog gyengülni:)
Ez most a devizák paraolimpiája, ráadásul mindenki a leggyengébb eredményre hajt.
Hát hogyne. Biztosan ezért gyengül! Lófa*zt! Elég szar hírt találtak hozzá...
en mar kb az eur/usd 1.27-rol indult rally-tol, na meg usa rv piaci szaguldastol elvesztettem a fonalat
(mindezt mindenfel ir, gorog spanyol, izland, meg a fax@m se tudja meg milyen europai gondok kellos kozeppette)
Eddig jó! Most jöhetnek a japók! Aztán meg usa. Utána meg kitudja még ki.
Lassan nem találni olyan devizát,ami ne lenne extrém szinteken.
Ha hazavágják az eu-t hova a f@szomba megy a DAX? :) Ezeket az összefüggéseket csak mi gondoljuk így, vagy így is van?
mondhatnák nagyon ramaty...
de ennél még csak ramatyabb lesz mert a dollárt tovább fogják ütni...
azt h meddig csak az tudja aki üti...
Így már valóban totális a devizaháború...usa, kína, japán, eu, brazília, szingapúr stb. már mindenki csak erre koncentrál.
Lehet h ki kell ülni kicsit nézelődni megint.
usdjpy-ünk ölég ramaty...:( Mindegy, 81-en veszek még egy mikropozit.