- mert az account és jelszo megadása után nem állítod át a demot élesre
- nincs kapcsolatod
- proxy mogott állsz.
Másold át a komplett konyvtárat a másik gépre...
- mert az account és jelszo megadása után nem állítod át a demot élesre
- nincs kapcsolatod
- proxy mogott állsz.
Másold át a komplett konyvtárat a másik gépre...
sorry az miért van hogy egy másik pcre is feltettem a mt4 et de nem tudok belépni a accountra a másikkal igen . csak azt irja h érvénytelen a számla . köszönöm
Ja-ja ott figyelni kell...én látok egy duplacsúcsot óráson, most van a nyakvonalon. Ha töri a célár 1.364 kb.
japanok nem igazan sietnek az intervencioval....
rajottek h draga jatek, igy marad a duma.... haha, nekem meg a shortok (tartva)
"and said Japan is willing to take decisive steps, including FX intervention, if needed."
(sokat fog erni, ha penzel sem ment)
Szerintem már a túlvettség a múlté.:) Ha pattan, és szerintem fog, akkor nekimegy az 1,42-nek egyhuzamban.
Ha így is lenne,akkor oldalazás lesz egy ideig 38-40 között,hogy valahogy kijöjjön a túlvettségből.
Egy komolyabb emelkedésnek csak így van esély. Ha hamar visszahúzzák,akkor 41-42 fölé már nem nagyon lehetne vinni. A korrekcióra szükség van. Az arany a legjobb példa erre.
Morning Adviser Europe 10/12/2010 5:52:00 AM
USD Forecasts Lowered
By Gareth Berry
The dollar continued to grind modestly higher during the Asia session, the move having first got underway during Monday's holiday in the US. There were no major releases, but Asian equities were significantly weaker. EURUSD traded 1.3845-1.3901, USDJPY 81.85-82.36. We have changed our one-month forecasts for EURUSD, USDJPY, EURJPY, EURGBP, USDCHF, AUDUSD and NZDUSD in the wake of our economists now expecting the Fed to announce quantitative easing in the form of a programme of bond purchases on the order of $100-200 bn a quarter. We have however retained our three-month currency views, as we believe the market has already priced in substantial new Treasury purchases by the Fed, meaning that the eventual decision risks being a disappointment, which would likely limit any post-announcement dollar weakness. Fed Vice Chairman Janet Yellen made her first remarks after being sworn in but did not directly address the economic outlook or upcoming policy decisions. She did say, however, that policymakers should be cautious as accommodative policies could spark a build-up in leverage and risk-taking. The September FOMC minutes are due - no surprises are expected, but these should at least provide a fuller picture of the discussions surrounding the surprisingly dovish Sept 21 policy statement.
Research Spotlight "The Futility Of War" UBS Global Economics The media are voicing concern that the world is about to embark upon a global "currency war", as countries try to devalue their way to export-led recovery. Before such apocalyptic fears take hold, it is worth reflecting that major currency pairs have not moved much since the start of 2007. While a 30%-plus FX move in a single year would change prices and demand patterns, the dislocation and political response it would generate would be the economic equivalent of a nuclear winter. Please see the "The Futility of War" note on www.ubs.com/fx for details.
EUR Targets: EURUSD 1m 1.40, 3m 1.25 ECB Governing Council member Quaden said excessive FX volatility needs to be avoided by common efforts at the global level. He also said the ECB is not pre-committed to making any decisions on exit strategies and that there are no plans right now to change collateral rules in order to stop banks refinancing exclusively at the ECB. CPI data in Germany is due. At 0.0% (cons. 0.3%, prev. 0.9%) August French industrial output was released below expectations. In contrast, seasonal adjusted Italian industrial output was 1.3% (cons. 0.0%, prev. 0.1%).
JPY Targets: USDJPY 1m 80, 3m 85 Finance Minister Noda repeated that he is watching FX markets with great interest, and said Japan is willing to take decisive steps, including FX intervention, if needed. Economics Minister Kaieda repeated comments that Noda made over the weekend, saying that Japan's explanation for its FX policy met with a certain understanding at the weekend IMF meetings. Given the likelihood that US yields will remain under pressure in the run-up to the FOMC's November policy announcement, we lowered our 1m USDJPY forecast to 80 from 85. Our US economists expect that any Fed easing at that meeting will likely disappoint the market in terms of its size and ambition. Recognizing this, as well as the scope for further BoJ easing, we keep our 3m target unchanged at 85.
NOK, SEK Targets: EURNOK 1m 7.80, 3m 7.60 / EURSEK 1m 9.35, 3m 9.30 Underlying CPI in Norway was lower than expected at 0.9% y/y versus consensus 1.1% and 1.4% previously. The data increases the risk that Norges Bank will become more cautious with respect to timing of additional rates hikes. But we still hold a short GBPNOK trade recommendation given policy differentials. Headline CPI in Sweden is expected to pick up in September but we would be cautious on further near-term upside given year-to-date strength.
GBP Targets: GBPUSD 1m 1.59, 3m 1.47 CPI is expected to remain unchanged at 3.1% y/y, while core CPI and RPI are expected to dip slightly. The m/m CPI consensus is 0.0% versus 0.5% previously. While we will not see how the latest MPC vote breaks down until Oct 20, any upside CPI surprises could intensify differences of opinion ahead of the UK spending review. We remain cautious on sterling as fiscal austerity will dampen growth and keep monetary policy accommodative, particularly following recent comments by Prime Minster Cameron and Finance Minister Osborne. Cameron said that there are risks for the economy and that monetary policy was the best lever for support.
AUD, NZD Targets: AUDUSD 1m 1.00, 3m 0.93; NZDUSD 1m 0.76, 3m 0.73 Business confidence in September was broadly unchanged at 10 (prev. 11), while business conditions rose to 7 from 5 in August. Our Australian economists note that there is nothing in the data that ought to change the RBA's expectation that growth ahead will be at, or above, trend. RBNZ Governor Bollard noted that the OCR remains at historically low levels, and the process of moving it back to more neutral levels "will likely be slow".
FX Technicals
USDCHF look for a break below 0.9500 EURUSD BULLISH Violation of 1.4029 will trigger further acceleration to 1.4194. Near-term support holds at 1.3799 ahead of 1.3637 USDJPY BEARISH Trend is bearish; initial support at 81.39 ahead of 79.75. Resistance remains at 83.03 ahead of 83.99 GBPUSD BULLISH Sustained break of 1.6018/69 would expose 1.6276. Support at 1.5670 ahead of 1.5503 USDCHF BEARISH Look for a break below 0.9500 which will expose 0.9078 next. Resistance at 0.9739 ahead of 0.9918 breakout low. AUDUSD BULLISH Upside potential held at 0.9918 below 1.000 psychological resistance next. Support at 0.9709 reaction low. USDCAD BEARISH As long as resistance at 1.0380 holds, expect losses to target 1.0063 with scope for 0.9931 and 0.9820 next. EURCHF BULLISH Trend is bullish; break of 1.3494 would expose 1.3697 measured objective. Support at 1.3265. EURGBP BULLISH Stalled in front of 0.8808 with next resistance at 0.8894. Support holds at 0.8689 ahead of 0.8563 EURJPY BULLISH Pullback from 115.68 eyes 113.26 support, but overall outlook is bullish with next resistance at 116.68 and 119.33 next. *NOTE: The trend for each currency pair as defined in the table is determined by our proprietary model and is independent of our discretionary interpretation of price action
Addig amíg a FED retorika nem változik, vagyis lebegtetik a mézesmadzagot, a dollár gyengülni fog.
ECB President Trichet spoke in Washington but did not offer any new insight into ECB policy. He spoke mostly on regulatory issues. CPI data in Germany is due. At 0.0% (cons. 0.3%, prev. 0.9%) August French industrial output was released below expectations. In contrast, seasonal adjusted Italian industrial output was released at 1.3% (cons. 0.0%, prev. 0.1%). ECB Governing Council member Quaden said that excessive FX volatility needs to be avoided by common efforts at the global level. He also said that the ECB is not pre-committed to make any decisions on exit strategies and that there are no plans right now to change collateral rules in order to stop banks refinancing exclusively at the ECB.
Egész jók a pozijaim, főleg eurusd shortom 1.4-ről...usdx, snp is szép...tartom őket.
Nagyon úgy néz ki.
Itt a várva várt korrekció. Naposon rsi 84-ig ment, kb.4-500pont korri lehet. Vagyis 36-35ig várnám.
hmmm...... ez eleg talalo........:-)
irany kereses, azert latszik hogy csak felgozzel mennek odakint!
Azt szeretem ezekben a fibo szintekben, hogy minden nap, minden szinthez van olyan időtáv ami fibó szintet eredményez,.
1 perces, 1 órás, 1 napos, hetes, havi, éves, 1929-es mélypont óta, stb....
:DDDDD
EURUSD showing a bit of uncertainty even as it recently vaulted beyond the 55-week moving average and the 0.618 Fibo retracement area around 1.3900. This could just be a pause as the market contemplate whether it wants to take the pair above the 1.40 level or signs of larger consolidation. Note that momentum has come off somewhat after the last two days of “long-legged doji” candlesticks – classic markers for uncertainty. Note also that EURUSD rallies and sell-offs often pause close to major big figures (1.50 on the upside last time around and just below 1.20 on the downside.)
