2750-ről én is shortolom. A GBPUSD is kapott még egy esélyt :) A tegnapiak viszont nagyon csúnyák ....

Egyébként mire ez a nagy öröm mindenfelé?

EURUSD short.

"Szeretem" mikor az egyik nap eljátsszák a hattyú halálát, másnap a feltámadását.

a "tippet" megtalálod a forum.tozsde.hu-n is a célkeresztben topicban http://forum.tozsde.hu/7424-post174.html

próbáljuk a héten fellendíteni a topicot páran, jó lenne ha minél többen jönnének és raknák be a saját chartjukat, ötleteiket

ezt csak azért írom mert tudom hogy te is gyakran postolsz ott...:)

zártam a tegnap esti cadjpy longot...

én is köszönöm a "tippet", nem szoktam figyelni ezt a párt, kb 6pip spread, de most a H1 MA200 szurkálásán felbuzdulva indítottam shortot, tetszett a hír hatása :)

GBPCAD adat előtt kapott egyet ajándékba 1,6200-on. Most nincs olyan smiley, amivel le lehetne írni a mosolyomat :D

Morning Adviser Americas 9/8/2010 11:18:00 AM

German IP Disappoints

By Manuel Oliveri

Risk sentiment was relatively stable in Europe, although uncertainty with respect to the European banking sector remains high. Germany reported a July trade surplus of EUR13.5 bn, but both imports and exports dropped, the former by 2.2% m/m and latter by 1.5% m/m. The country's industrial production in the same month disappointed, coming in at 0.1% m/m (cons. 1.0%) and 10.9% y/y (cons. 12.5%). The Bank of Canada today announces its interest rate decision. We expect no change.

Most European stock market indices are trading broadly flat. EURUSD traded 1.2659 - 1.2734 and USDJPY 83.39-83.96. The Fed's Beige Book and consumer credit are the only notable US releases today.

Research Spotlight "Euro Worries Resurface" UBS Global Economics

Despite last week's better-than-expected US ISM and payrolls releases, most of the data disappointments of recent weeks have been concentrated in the US. Growth outcomes in Europe, by contrast, have continued to surprise on the upside, while survey and trade data from export-oriented Asian economies such as Taiwan, Singapore, and Korea, have recently turned downward. Data flow is likely to remain uneven, and a source of continued uncertainty for financial markets. Please see the "Data Very Much A Matter" note on www.ubs.com/fx for details.

EUR Targets: EURUSD 1m 1.2800, 3m 1.1500

At -1.5% (cons. 0.0%, prev. 3.8%) German exports in July dropped for the first time since April. At -2.2% (cons. 0.5%, prev. 1.9%) imports also fell. The trade balance showed a surplus of 13.5bn (cons. 12.9bn, prev. 12.3bn). Industrial output for July was released at 0.1% m/m (cons. 1.0%, prev. -0.6%). In Greece, at -1.8% q/q (cons. -1.5%) and -3.7% y/y (cons. -3.5%) Q2 provisional GDP was released below initial estimations.

Portugal sold EUR 661mln of three year bonds at an average yield of 4.086% (prev. 3.597%) and a bid/cover ratio of 1.9. For the 11year bond issue an average yield of 5.973% (prev. 5.312%) was reported. The b/c ratio was 2.6. As such the auction was slightly better than expected. However, skepticism in the current environment remains extraordinarily high, and therefore upside in the EUR remains limited. In fact, Eurozone peripheral sovereign bond spreads remain at or near record wide levels.

On a different note, the Irish Finance Minister revealed that he is seeking approval from the EU Commission to extend the government bank guarantee scheme for another 3 months. It was due to expire at the end of September but now, subject to the necessary EU approvals, it will be extended until the end of the year. The scheme offers state guarantees on corporate deposits held at Irish financial institutions, as well as guarantees on interbank lending.

ECB Governing Council member Weber said, that Basel III negotiations will be concluded this weekend and that talks are on track. On growth prospects he continues to expect moderate growth with price stability. He also added that steps taken by the Eurozone periphery are big enough in order to end discussions of state insolvency and that worries about deflation are unfounded. Nevertheless he also said that they must resist the temptation to declare that the crisis is over.

Altogether we remain skeptical of any rallies in EURUSD and look for more euro downside, in particular versus USD and CHF.

JPY Targets: USDJPY 1m 85.00, 3m 95.00

There was more rhetoric from Finance Minister Noda overnight. He revealed he is watching currency movements with great interest and that he is willing to take decisive steps on FX, including intervention, when needed. He said he is cooperating with other G20 nations on the forex issue, but did not elaborate.

BoJ Governor Shirakawa said he was watching out for downside risks to the Japanese economy arising from the yen's strength, and that the BoJ is poised to take additional steps if these downside risks materialize. This is Shirakawa's clearest statement yet that further easing could be on the cards. Like Noda, Shirakawa revealed he is also closely communicating with G20. Elsewhere, PM candidate Ozawa said that there is only limited room for BOJ policy to tackle the yen rise. Nevertheless, he added that intervention should still be considered even if solo action is ineffective.

Overall it remains highly questionable if any intervention steps would be supported by other G7 members. For instance Eurozone officials already made clear before that intervention is not favored, and around current levels any support seems unlikely. Hence we still expect no serious intervention risk around current levels.

CAD Targets: USDCAD 1m 1.0200, 3m 1.0200

Consensus estimate is for a 25bp hike from the BoC but it is not a clear consensus as only 13 out of 20 economists surveyed voted for 25bp. Investors seem split as well as they are only pricing in 17bp. Our Canadian economic team does not expect a rate hike and even if the BoC does hike it may issue a dovish policy statement, similar to its two previous ones issued during the June and July hikes.

GBP Targets: GBPUSD 1m 1.50, 3m 1.35

At 0.2% m/m (cons. -0.5%, prev. 0.6%) Halifax house prices in August rose more than expected. Elsewhere, at 0.3% m/m (cons. 0.3%, prev. -0.5%) and 1.9% y/y (cons. 1.9%, prev. 1.3%) industrial output was released in line with market expectations. At 0.3% m/m (cons. 0.3%, prev. 0.3%) and 4.9% y/y (cons. 4.9%, prev. 4.1%) manufacturing output was also released in line with the consensus.

Regarding house prices, and according to our economists all the major leading indicators have eased recently suggesting that house prices will continue to drop. Referring to manufacturing activity, the pace is expected to ease in the short-term, as suggested by the manufacturing PMI.

SEK Targets: EURSEK 1m 9.35, 3m 9.30

At 1.9% (cons. 1.2%, prev. 1.2%) and 4.6 y/y (cons. 3.7%, prev. 3.7%) Q'2 GDP was revised higher.

FX Technicals

EURUSD BEARISH Recovery held below 1.2933 thus bringing our focus back on 1.2588. Break of the level would expose next support lying at 1.2434 Fibonacci level. USDJPY BEARISH With the clearance of 83.60 bearish trend remains intact. Next support is at 79.75 key level. Short-term resistance is defined at 85.23 GBPUSD BEARISH Next big support below 1.5125/15 lies at 1.4906. Near-term resistance lies at 1.5584 ahead of 1.5742 USDCHF BEARISH Momentum is negative; expect extension of bearish trend towards 0.9918 ahead of 0.9786. On the upside resistance holds at 1.0265 ahead of 1.0466 AUDUSD BULLISH The gains are expected to move towards 0.9222 with scope for 0.9389 next. Only a move below 0.8856 would hurt the positive tone. USDCAD NEUTRAL Model has turned neutral with 1.0680 and 1.0108 defining the next bull and bear trigger respectively. EURCHF BEARISH The push below 1.2852 exposes 1.2501 and then 1.2403. Resistance at 1.3163 EURGBP BEARISH Clearance of 0.8249 exposes 0.8142 and 0.8068 next. Near-term resistance is defined at 0.8390 ahead of 0.8532 EURJPY BEARISH Bearish pressure eyes 105.44, scope for next support at 100 psychological level. Resistance is at 111.19.

"BOE SHOULDN'T CONSIDER RAISING RATE UNTIL MID-2011, BCC SAYS

Köszi!

Sanguis, tudnál nekem segíteni, Te saxo-s vagy és forexes, ha jól tudom:).

A Technikai kérdések topicban leírtam egy kérdést ami nekem most nagyon aktuális szeretném megoldani.

Nagyon köszönöm!

http://stocklandyard.hu/blog/show/321

az ocean alatti elso kabelen, eloszor fontusd vel kezdtek kereskedni usa es anglia kozott

sleng mint a lonnie v a kiwi

kozben jenekbe is megy a szemetkedes, stop kiszedes

nagyok mar megjottek, latszik

És miért nevezik cable-nak?

meglatjuk kitud e torni felfele

sztem kerdeses

mindenesetre 55 folot stop

Vodafone miatt volt a "rally".

In Cable, outside of stops being taken out through the 1.5430 level, the market has caught wind of Vodafone having sold its stake in China Mobile and having to repatriate around 70% of the proceeds - which loosely speaking translates to around GBP 3 B needed to be purchased. This was clearly enough to get the Cable even higher printing 1.5490 or so this morning. Tom the trader should prefer (in his frantic state) to fade this rally looking more at the economic fundamentals, which not only were confirmed overnight with rubbish Halifax housing data, but also ahead of manufacturing data out a little later this morning. Looks like the market is bidding into this release with a buy the rumor, sell the fact trade…

ez elsonel nagy euforia volt

ezekszerint jobban tetszik az hazar index nekik

ez elsonel nagy euforia volt

ezekszerint jobban tetszik az hazar index nekik

Ez xarabb lett a vártnál. A halifax is xar lett, de az jobb a vártnál. Emelkedni akartak és volt indok a megrántásra.:)

Néztem én is. Adatnál nagyobb reakcióra számítottam....