ha már eddig kiülted akkor miért pont most zártad?
tipikus eset hogy amikor optimistának kellene lenni mert valami jó történik akkor lesz az ember pesszimista:)
velem is sokszor előfordul sajnos:(
ha már eddig kiülted akkor miért pont most zártad?
tipikus eset hogy amikor optimistának kellene lenni mert valami jó történik akkor lesz az ember pesszimista:)
velem is sokszor előfordul sajnos:(
Ehh,a 2napja vett 1.3000 eurchf longom sikerült 0-ba zárnom.
ez mázli vagy pedig nagy mázli hogy így bekattant?:)
http://a.imageshack.us/img830/6896/cadchf20100901.jpg
nem szoktam mostanság indikátorok alapján meg spekulatív szándékkal belépni de most teljesült egy order:O
csak nem tudom hogy most mi tévő legyek…
annyit teszek hogy a stopot 0-ba rakom és megpróbálok minél tovább bent maradni ebben a korrekcióban
Nekem 2 nagyobb pakk 1,2790 és 1,2831-ről....
1.2765 ről van egy pakk shortom, és 1.2910-en állok a következővel. (vagy stop kéne inkább oda?)
Te is shortolsz? Én sávosan végigadtam az emelkedést.
miután kidobott a profitkövető még hajnalban, most újra adok neki egy eurusd shortot
Az, hogy elvileg az emelkedés nagyon erős hármas ellenálláshoz érkezett, amint az ábrán is látható :)
mi benne az érdekes?:)
Morning Adviser Americas 9/1/2010 11:14:00 AM
Risk Firm Pre-ISM
By Geoffrey Yu
Risk gained traction overnight. Better-than-expected GDP from Australia and PMI frm China, as well as investors acknowledging that the Fed remains flexible - and is attuned to downside risks, even if fresh stimulus may yet be some months away, if at all - all contributed. Even though decoupling is not a theme, the decline in growth exposure to the US in the wake of the financial crisis has helped many economies to maintain momentum, though the general outlook remains cautious.
The FOMC minutes from Aug. 10 show more downside risk to the recovery than before, which most investors had expected, and saw the MBS policy change as an effort to avoid passive tightening rather than a move toward easing. Although the minutes backed away from earlier deflation fears, the overall tone was dovish and cautious as, "members generally saw both employment and inflation as likely to fall short of levels consistent with the [Fed's] dual mandate...."
Prior to the minutes, the latest data was modestly positive. Conference Board consumer confidence rose above expectations in August and most of the improvement came from the expectations component. The S&P/Case-Shiller Index y/y figure increased more than anticipated but the index does lag changes in price trends. The Chicago and Milwaukee regional manufacturing indexes weakened though they remained above 50. Investor focus now shifts to the August ISM Manufacturing release. EURUSD traded in a range of 1.2663-1.2813 and USDJPY 83.94-84.58.
Research Spotlight "Who's Buying Swiss Francs?" UBS G10 FX Strategy
The Swiss franc has appreciated to all-time highs against the euro as risk aversion and economic bearishness continue to dominate global markets. Long-franc positioning has been driven by hedge funds. but does not look extreme. Asset managers, corporates and particularly private clients have been more quiet. Positioning suggests a low risk of a sharp EURCHF rebound. Renewed risk aversion, or BoJ intervention to weaken the yen, could further boost the Swiss franc. Please see the note "Who's Buying Swiss Francs?" on www.ubs.com/fx for details.
EUR Targets: EURUSD 1m 1.2800, 3m 1.1500
German retail sales were worse than expected at -0.3%m/m, 0.8%y/y. The manufacturing PMI was also confirmed at 58.2, in line with expectations, showing that growth remains on track in Germany, but the rest of the Eurozone may struggle to keep pace.
Eurozone manufacturing PMI was also firm at 55.1, higher than the initial release. Similar PMI releases across Europe were generally firm.
With concerns on financial institutions and sovereign financing persisting in Europe, some extension of ECB unconventional measures could be expected at this week's ECB decision. But US data will likely remain the driver for EURUSD this week depending on if data divergences between the US and the Eurozone continue.
We took profit on our short EURCHF trade recommendation and revolved into short GBPCHF, entered at 1.5580 with a target at 1.5000.
CAD Targets: USDCAD 1m 1.0200, 3m 1.0200
The Q2 GDP figure was lower than expected at 2.0% annualized, which helped push USDCAD higher during the session. The Q1 figure was revised slightly lower but was still strong at 5.8%. Officials have cautioned the economy could slow down relative to Q1 but they believe the economy is on the right track. While USDCAD could remain range-bound in the near-term, medium-term fundamentals remain favourable to the Canadian dollar.
AUD Target: AUDUSD 1m 0.9000, 3m 0.8500
Australian GDP surprised strongly to the upside at 1.2%q/q, 3.3y/y (cons. 0.9%1/1, 3.3%y/y). Private demand was firm though household savings dropped. Our economists note today's data are consistent with our forecast that growth this year would be above consensus and the RBA, with GDP growth likely to be above 4% y/y into 2011, against consensus for 3?%. Our economists continue to expect rates to be 75bp higher by mid 2011 (5.25%), with the likelihood that the RBA will be back in action before the end of this year.
FX Technicals
EURUSD BEARISH Trend is bearish with focus on 1.2588 ahead of 1.2434 Fibonacci support. Short-term resistance is defined at 1.2933 USDJPY BEARISH Approaches 83.60 trend low, move below the level would expose 79.75 key support. Short-term resistance is defined at 85.91 intraday high GBPUSD NEUTRAL Pressure on 1.5324; sustained break of the level favor extension of bearish trend towards 1.5125. Near-term resistance lies at 1.5475 ahead of 1.5713 USDCHF BEARISH With the break of 1.0131 bearish trend remains intact. Next big support lies at 0.9918 ahead of 0.9786. On the upside resistance holds at 1.0265 ahead of 1.0466 AUDUSD BEARISH Model has turned neutral; 0.9222 and 0.8771 act as the next bull and bear triggers respectively. USDCAD BULLISH Bullish pressure is mounting on 1.0680; break of the level would open 1.0853. Initial support is defined at 1.0473 ahead of 1.0248 EURCHF BEARISH The cross continues to define fresh trend lows. Next support lies at 1.2742 ahead of 1.2403. Near-term resistance comes in at 1.3146 EURGBP NEUTRAL 0.8363 and 0.6068 define the key near-term directional triggers EURJPY BEARISH Momentum is negative; the pair targets 105.44 with scope for 100.00 next. Near-term resistance is defined at 111.11 ahead of 114.74. *NOTE: The trend for each currency pair as defined in the table is determined by our proprietary model and is independent of our discretionary interpretation of price action.
egyutt nezetm a kettot
azt sem ertem, miert ez a szakadas?
eur/usd rejtely miert tort ki
kov megallo 1.2922 addig sztem hanyagolom
folotte mar long
rossz ez így. A ker rendszer helyett a stooq-ot nézem. Néha azt hiszem, hogy ki vágott, majd vissza is vette de valójában semmi...
mindegy 75-ön a tegnap éjjeli longokat eladtam....
nálam 1,28504
chf erősködik tovább:)
a rossz angol adat csak arra volt jó, hogy tegnapi gbpusd longom stopját kiszedje.
