EURUSD 4óráson pont a 200-as mozgó alatt. Elég jó hely egy gyors shortra :)
EURUSD 4óráson pont a 200-as mozgó alatt. Elég jó hely egy gyors shortra :)
nekem mindjart zarodik az eur/usd - m
szivas.....
nem tudom mire ez a k....a nagy happy
de ha van ra linked bedobhatnad............
budacash - es Taraczki Andrej mondta a gazdasagi radioban 8.43 kor
meg azt is mondta hogy el a kezekkel az arfolyamtol
legalabbis ova inti a kormanyt az intertol
en mar ulom oket lassan ket hete vastagodnak, foleg a font jen valami szar adat jott most ki toluk
JEN shortok továbbra is jók :(
mr.Jen USDJPY 76-ot jósolt
ő volt régen japánban a pénzügyminiszter helyettes
GBPUSD bejött :)
audusd short 0.8990
szerintem hasonló a spekink! :)
szerk....eurchf short?? (kizárólag H1 alapon, mert feljebb akár long is lehet! :) )
1.2765-ön állok eladással, nekem az egy fibo. Longot én sem nyitok. 1062.5-ön állok snp short nyitással az is fibo nekem.
Lassan bármi/chf longokat kéne keresni....ez nem normális amit a chf művel...:)
Ma adathalmaz van:
Heading into Europe we will see if the Euro-zone can maintain the upward turn in risk as we face the slew of manufacturing PMI data from a number of countries -Sweden, Norway, Switzerland, Germany, Euro-zone and the UK while we also have German retail sales on tap. For the US session we can expect Challenger job cuts and the private ADP employment change along with the ISM manufacturing and prices paid indices and concluding with construction spending for July.
Ezek bekavarhatnak. Ezért vár ki most a piac.
EURUSD short 1,2720-ról
GBPUSD short 1,5403-ról
en onnet tervezek ujjat nyitni, kicsi a stop tavolsag 1,2795
Morning Adviser Europe 9/1/2010 6:06:00 AM
APAC Data Helps Risk
By Geoffrey Yu
Risk appetite was broadly stable overnight as China PMI came in better than expected and Australian GDP surprised strongly to the upside. The figures have eased general slowdown fears in APAC, but it remains to be seen what kind of impact weaker US and Eurozone growth will have on the region. Equity markets were also resilient and shrugged off the more cautious tone expressed by the Fed. The FOMC minutes from August 10 more downside risk to the recovery than before, which most investors had expected, and saw the MBS policy change as an effort to avoid passive tightening rather than a move toward easing. Although the minutes backed away from earlier deflation fears, the overall tone was dovish and cautious as, "members generally saw both employment and inflation as likely to fall short of levels consistent with the [Fed's] dual mandate...." Prior to the minutes, the latest data was modestly positive. Conference Board consumer confidence rose above expectations in August and most of the improvement came from the expectations component. The S&P/Case-Shiller Index y/y figure increased more than anticipated but the index does lag changes in price trends. The Chicago and Milwaukee regional manufacturing indexes weakened though they remained above 50 and investor focus now shifts to the August ISM Manufacturing release. EURUSD traded in a range of 1.2663-1.2716 and USDJPY 84.03-84.58.
Research Spotlight "Who's Buying Swiss Francs?" UBS G10 FX Strategy The Swiss franc has appreciated to all-time highs against the euro as risk aversion and economic bearishness continue to dominate global markets. Long-franc positioning has been driven by hedge funds. but does not look extreme. Asset managers, corporates and particularly private clients have been more quiet. Positioning suggests a low risk of a sharp EURCHF rebound. Renewed risk aversion, or BoJ intervention to weaken the yen, could further boost the Swiss franc. Please see the note "Who's Buying Swiss Francs?" on www.ubs.com/fx for details.
EUR Targets: EURUSD 1m 1.2800, 3m 1.1500 German retail sales were worse than expected at -0.3%m/m, 0.8%y/y. Yesterday, among other Eurozone data releases, German unemployment fell by 17k, slightly less than expected and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 7.6%. Eurozone CPI was weaker at 1.6% and unemployment steady 10.0%. Several final manufacturing PMIs are due and little change is expected. With concerns on financial institutions and sovereign financing persisting in Europe, some extension of ECB unconventional measures could be expected at this week's ECB decision. But US data will likely remain the driver for EURUSD this week depending on if data divergences between the US and the Eurozone continue. We took profit on our short EURCHF trade recommendation and revolved into short GBPCHF, entered at 1.5580 with a target at 1.5000.
CAD Targets: USDCAD 1m 1.0200, 3m 1.0200 The Q2 GDP figure was lower than expected at 2.0% annualized, which helped push USDCAD higher during the session. The Q1 figure was revised slightly lower but was still strong at 5.8%. Officials have cautioned the economy could slow down relative to Q1 but they believe the economy is on the right track. While USDCAD could remain range-bound in the near-term, medium-term fundamentals remain favourable to the Canadian dollar.
AUD Target: AUDUSD 1m 0.9000, 3m 0.8500 Australian GDP surprised strongly to the upside at 1.2%q/q, 3.3y/y (cons. 0.9%1/1, 3.3%y/y). Private demand was firm though household savings dropped. Our economists note today's data are consistent with our forecast that growth this year would be above consensus and the RBA, with GDP growth likely to be above 4% y/y into 2011, against consensus for 3?%. Our economists continue to expect rates to be 75bp higher by mid 2011 (5.25%), with the likelihood that the RBA will be back in action before the end of this year.
FX Technicals GBPUSD pressure on 1.5324 EURUSD BEARISH Trend is bearish with focus on 1.2588 ahead of 1.2434 Fibonacci support. Short-term resistance is defined at 1.2933 USDJPY BEARISH Approaches 83.60 trend low, move below the level would expose 79.75 key support. Short-term resistance is defined at 85.91 intraday high GBPUSD NEUTRAL Pressure on 1.5324; sustained break of the level favor extension of bearish trend towards 1.5125. Near-term resistance lies at 1.5475 ahead of 1.5713 USDCHF BEARISH Clearance of 1.0131 would open up the way towards 0.9918. On the upside resistance holds at 1.0265 ahead of 1.0466 AUDUSD BEARISH Model has turned neutral; 0.9222 and 0.8771 act as the next bull and bear triggers respectively. USDCAD BULLISH Bullish pressure is mounting on 1.0680; break of the level would open 1.0853. Initial support is defined at 1.0473 ahead of 1.0248 EURCHF BEARISH The cross continues to define fresh trend lows. Next support lies at 1.2742 ahead of 1.2403. Near-term resistance comes in at 1.3146 EURGBP NEUTRAL 0.8363 and 0.6068 define the key near-term directional triggers EURJPY BEARISH Momentum is negative; the pair targets 105.44 with scope for 100.00 next. Near-term resistance is defined at 111.11 ahead of 114.74 *NOTE: The trend for each currency pair as defined in the table is determined by our proprietary model and is independent of our discretionary interpretation of price action
1,27400 körül, ha felhúzzák addig nyitok rá shortot. Persze, ha nem akkor hamarabb.:)
Jóregg!
Zártam össz nyerőben fél 10 körül tegnap. Az uccsó pozi lett bukós kicsit.
Oldalazik. H4-en felszaladhat a bolli tetejéig. Szóval nem egyértelmű a rövid irány.
veszélyesnek tartom, de sok sikert...
