Regisztráció Elfelejtett jelszó

Fx tippek, gondolatok

Economic data (Eurozone)…

#267958 Sanguis

Economic data (Eurozone): ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment (JUN) out at 28.7 vs. 42.0 expected and 45.8 prior. ZEW Survey - Current Situation (JUN) out at -7.9 vs. -15.0 expected and -21.6 prior.

Re: nincs cím

#267956 Sanguis Előzmény: #267953

Én az EURGBP longot "erőltetem". Ha ZEW jó lesz az EUR kilő, és nagyot megy ma.:)

Re: nincs cím

#267951 Sanguis Előzmény: #267908

Economic data (UK): CPI MoM/YoY out at 0.2%/3.4% vs. 0.4%/3.5% expected vs. 0.6%/3.7% prior read.

Re: nincs cím

#267908 Sanguis Előzmény: #267850

UK CPI for May is due later today and any surprises are likely to be a significant driver for sterling. As seen in Chart 1, inflationary pressures have been building inside the UK economy since September 2009, and current levels remain well above the Bank of England's medium-term target of 2%. Newspaper articles have speculated for some time that the BoE could be forced into a pre-emptive rate hikes in a bid to head off inflationary pressures. This speculation intensified after April's unexpectedly high print of 3.7% y/y and some observers have gone so far as to attribute sterling's recent recovery, at least in part, to the possibility of such a hike. We see little prospect of this. For now, our UK economist continues to expect the BoE to wait until Q4 before delivering its first rate hike, but this forecast will likely be reviewed after the Budget on June 22, given that the BoE is unlikely to move so far ahead of the Fed and the ECB. The BoE's latest inflation report, and subsequent commentary by Governor King, made it clear that energy prices, sterling weakness, and the recent hike in Value Added Tax were the key contributors to recent CPI strength, and that the influence of these factors is likely to fade over the coming months. Indeed today's numbers are expected to provide the first evidence of this. Our UK economist forecasts a slight drop to +3.6% y/y in today's print, while the market is looking for a steeper decline to +3.5% y/y. Although such elevated levels would confirm the existence of ongoing price pressures, we think this gradual deceleration in CPI will continue over the coming months. Further downward pressure will likely be exerted by the introduction of UK austerity measures, as well as weakening demand from both inside the Eurozone and across the wider developed world as the sovereign debt crisis takes its toll on sentiment. Consequently, we remain cautious on sterling, and are alert to the risk that an unexpectedly large decline in CPI over the coming months could prompt the BoE to consider a resumption of QE. To cover this possibility, and in light of the upcoming SNB policy decision on Thursday, we remain long a 2-month GBPCHF put spread with strikes of 1.6300 and 1.5425 at a spot reference price of 1.6705. Our 3m EURGBP target remains at 0.85.

Re: nincs cím

#267847 kratya Előzmény: #267846

én ma nem a longot keresem. (gbp usd 1,4733 stop 0-ban tegnapi eurusd short tartva, usdchf long 1,14222 stop 1,14315 /ez robot trade/)

Minden csati tetőről fordult!!!!

Csak óvatosan szvsz

meg megint görög para van!

Remélem usákok ma letőrik a szintjüket

Re: nincs cím

#267846 Roller Előzmény: #267843

Ja,de tényleg! :))) Csak én 1és5 percesen trédelek. Mostanság próbálok hozzátok felnőni.

Most esik minden. Már megint a hajnali és a tegnapi optimizmus. Most lehetnek jó beszállók longba.

Re: nincs cím

#267824 Roller Előzmény: #267818

Csak,hogy legyen egy ellen vélemény is.Szerintem 1,46-ig visszamegy,de aztán fel és a napos kinézete alapján nem shortolnám. A h1-en shortos,de aszerint nem sokat megy már le.Annyira nem is mondtam ellent.Én inkább usdjpy longot próbálnék,most volt nemrég egy jó beszálló. 91,45-nél.

Re: nincs cím

#267818 kratya Előzmény: #267805

H1 H4 szerint csúcs völgynél köss kettő egységet, és egy egységnél hagyd meg a stopot 0-ra valamint a lehetőséget a trendnek.

Egyenlőre a napos trendje short, az első csúcsot nehéz csak kiülni! :-) (stop helynek)

Re: dji

#267817 kratya Előzmény: #267814

amig usa sáv van addig elvileg nincs gond a shorttal, (gbp usd)

rádásul cstiban van tetőn fibon, szerintem tuti jó lessz a short